NEW WXSIM 2025 beta to try out

Happy New Year Everybody!

I’ve just compiled and made an installer for what I hope is WXSIM Version 2025 Build 1.0, but of course I’d like people to try it out before I make it official (or catch and correct any bugs). You can get the upgrade at

www.wxsim.com/wxsim2025upgbeta.exe

if anything goes wrong, you can restore the previous version (2024 Build 1.1) using this

www.wxsim.com/wxsimupg.exe

I’ll list the changes below.

Thanks!

Tom

CHANGES SINCE 2024 BUILD 1.1:

The ‘Anthropegenic and Solar Forcings’ algorithms were changed slightly in response
to updated research - in part done in support of and resulting from output of my
Clima-Sim program, but also from further observations over time and more extensive
study of the rate of warming (whatever the causes) in different geographic regions.
The biggest change was a considerable reduction in the effect of the solar (11-year
sunspot) cycle. I had previously used direct calculations of rather immediate
effects of changes in the solar constant, which I’d considered could cause an
amplitude (either side of the mean) of almost 0.09 C. Now, both my modeling in
Clima-Sim and my very careful study of NASA’s GISTEMP data shows this amplitude to
be almost undetectable (I think this is largely a result of “thermal inertia, so to
speak), so I’ve reduced this amplitude to about 0.01 C. My recalibration of the
warming (which is a somewhat complex pattern, based on historical trends) results
in a slightly smaller warming that I’d had before for some Northern latitudes, but
slightly more than before over Southern Hemipshere land masses. For future warming,
I’ve adopted a trend close to the “RCP4.5” scenario, widely regarded as a mid-range
and very plausible eissions and warming future.

To allow a finer look at the warming rate, I’ve changed the temperature text box
display to two decimal places instead of the previous one (so now, hundredths of a
degree). This is displayed when you change the date in the text box at top left,
and reflects the “normal” mean temperature for that date. Note that customizations
are based on 1981-2010 climatology, with this factor “correcting” for that.

A header, “UTC Date/Time” has been added for the last column in latest.csv (or saved
versions of that).

The “Import Data” and “Import Local Data” options under the “Import” menu item
on the Data Entry Form now have addiotal wording: “(Access with Auto Run OFF)”. It
has not been obvious previously that Auto Run needs to be temporarily deactivated
(under Start/Auto Run and Other Settings) in order to made changes on those forms.
With Auto Run ON, the forms disappear before manual changes can be made.

The help files have been modified slightly, with additional wording and information
about the ‘Wind gust controls’ (under Preferences/Settings/Tab 1). This issue can
be confusing, so I recommend reading the blue text help there.

wret.exe was modified to correct a problem that occurred with the (relatively new)
Cumulus MX file name format (now numerical months instead of previous first three
letter os the month name). The problems had been that the previous version of wret.exe
would (with this file type only), revert to the first of two months when the analysis
went to the next month.

Thanks Tom.
Also for you and your family the best wishes for this new year 2025.
I installed the beta version 2025 and got the message during the installation that there is no printer installed. This is certainly installed. During the wxsimate run it gets stuck on mixing GFS and ECMWF. I got the message “path not found”.
I hope this is easy to solve.

Brgds,
Oebel
Assen, the Netherlands

Hi Oebel,

Hmmm … I made no changes to WXSIMATE, and the ones in WXSIM would seem unlikely to cause a no printer installed error. It seems something odd may have happened during the isntallation (like files ended up in the wrong place??). Try reverting to the previous version, either by putting files you might have saved back in, or by running the still existing installer www.wxsim.com/wxsimupg.exe

Let me know what happens, and thanks for the feedback!

Tom

I’ve downloaded the update and it is working fine for me.
Thanks,
Tom

Hi Tom,

I did what you said and it looks like the problem is solved.
It is working fine now.
Thanks!

Brgds,
Oebel

Hi Tom,
I tried the 2025Beta and had the following error.

1: I do not use euromix.
2: Image of my settings below, which have always worked with latest version.
3: Note : after seeing this issue, I elected to revert using wxsimupg.exe however it still contained all the new beta changes and same error resulted again.

So lucky I always take a complete backup before running beta’s and reinstalled my backup, all running correct again.


Kindest Regards,
Tony

This Beta Thread seems to have stalled ?
I tried beta again, but same issue as above.
Kindest Regards,
Tony

I think you need to change the data file to: c:\wxsim\wdatamixed.txt in:
wxsim-import-import data.
Disable autorun first to open import data.

I have the same settings as you, but mine says “Found 0 Metars”
If I click “Get Data”, I get this:

I have installed the new beta and its running fine…No problems to date…

I’m not sure what’s going on with mine?

The automated forecasts don’t seem to be working right. It did it’s last forecast at 5:15pm, but it says in the plaintext that it was initialized at 13:00, yet the file date was changed at 5:15pm.

The same thing with lastret.txt.

I just tried a manual forecast, and the same thing is happening. The program is doing a forecast, but it keeps repeating it from earlier today.

Hi,
No I should not change the data file as I mentioned earlier, I do not use Euromix (stopped using back on 10/10/2024) as it made my forecasts worse. I have always only used WxSim-Lite and Autolearn.

The settings I have worked perfect up until installing this beta version, I was up to date with all recent updates at that point.

Something has changed that checks for the Mix file. My wdatamixed.txt does not get updated because I do not download ECMWF data. it was last updated when I stopped using it back on 10/10/2024 and as I said all worked fine till the Beta 2025.

Kindest Regards,
Tony

Hi Tina,

That message does not indicate an error. I was probably being overly picky about trying to get cloud covers estimated from the five layer relative humidities to align with the cloud covers direct output from the model data. I see the same thing sometimes and it’s almost never an issue. It likely results when the models (GFS or ECMWF) are diagnosing clouds which are largely in between the five levels WXSIM is looking at. Just click OK on it.

Tom

Hi Tina,

It’s apparently looking at data from 13:00, which suggests either that WXSIMATE did not run at the scheduled time, or it didn’t import local data. Look at localdat.txt to see both when that file was created and what the time stamp (near the beginning of the file) says. Maybe try manually importing local data (right, green side of WXSIMATE) to see if it’s finding recent data in your file. As for the 0 METARs found that you mentioned, there are a few possibilities. It could mean that no METARs got downloaded, or it could mean there were no reports from METAR stations, for that hour, in the particular wind direction. That happens more often in coastal areas.

Tom

Hi Tony,

I’m working on it tonight. As best I can tell, the solution to what you reported is for me to provide a way for you to opt out of seeing the message. I put the message in there because a lot of people were not realizing the need to change a file name if they wanted to use euromix. In your case, you don’t want to use it, so you should be able to skip the message. I think I can arrange that.

Thanks!

Tom

Hi Tom,
Sorry to be a pain, though thank you greatly for looking into it.
Kindest Regards,
Tony

OK, I just uploaded a new beta of WXSIM 2025, still at

www.wxsim.com/wxsim2025upgbeta.exe

(and if need be, you can revert to the latest official release, 2024 Build 1.1, using www.wxsim.com/wxsimupg.exe)

Here are the two changes I made, in response to some of your reports on my last upload:

A further modification was made to the message alerting the user if the file for WXSIM
to import has a different name from the one euromix.exe is set to generate. For users
who do NOT wish to use ECMWF data (through euromix.exe), replying ‘No’ to this message
box will prevent the message from appearing again.

A few messages about non-critical items (such as visibility being the maximum reported,
or difficulty reconciling cloud cover from relative humidities with GFS or ECMWF output)
have been reworded to clarify that these are NOT errors, but simply messages about which
the user could take (low priority) actions if desired.

Let me know how it goes!

Tom

Hi Tom,
Installed the new " wxsim2025upgbeta.exe" and no change the original message pops up after WxSim has run the schedule (only has an OK) button.

Can’t see any NO button anywhere.
Kindest Regards,
Tony

Hi Tony,

OK, so it’s running the forecast, but since it’s in auto mode, it didn’t show the pop-up that lets you say “no”. I should probably change some wording in that last message, to tell you this: temporarily disable auto run (under Start/Auto Run and Other Settings) and then go to Import Data, and click the Get Data button. THEN you should see the message and be able to decline. The last message might show up one more time, but not any more after that. Let me know what you see!

Thanks for the feedback, as always!!

Hi Tom,
I confirm that following the above mentioned process works first time.
It does not result in the message popping up one last time.
Back in Auto now and all works perfect.
As always, thank you so much for the fix.

Kindest Regards,
Tony